CogBlogged Tagged ‘emerging technology’

Tis the Season of Predictions

cc licensed flickr photo by SiRi About the most reliable prediction one can make this end time of year is the flood of people posting their own predictions for 2009, lots of them in the technology space (e.g. ReadWriteWeb, EDITing in the Dark, and Stephen Downes takes out the 10 year scope in an amazing essay I need some hours to read by the fire). What is it about predictions? Why do people play the game? It seems a lot of it is wanting to be “right”, to look back from the future, and pat our backs on hitting the target, as it thus proves our prescience. Heck, I’d like to have accurate predictions (emphasize “pre” like before) on say lottery numbers, horse races, implosions of the economy…) but as much certainty is written into the language, there is littler certainty. They are educated (sometimes) hunches. cc licensed flickr photo [...]