The 2011 Horizon Report: Key Emerging Technologies

Alan Levine • cogdogblog.comcogdog.it

A pile of links from a presentation for the ASTD Mt Diablo Chapter, April 19, 2011 (view presentation on Slideshare). See also the graphic recording created by Rachel Smith and mind map by Clark Quinn

On the Future

William F Gibson Quote on the Future
www.oreillynet.com/pub/a/network/2002/04/09/future.html
www.brianstorms.com/archives/000461.html

How to Forecast the Future (Paul Saffo)
www.computerworld.com/s/article/296816/The_Future_Really_Is_Now

The NMC's Horizon Project

Horizon Project horizon.nmc.org
Horizon Reports www.nmc.org/publications/horizon
Horizon Project Wiki horizon.wiki.nmc.org/
Facebook Page on.fb.me/horizon-project

2011 Horizon Report

Download www.nmc.org/publications/2011-horizon-report
Web Version wp.nmc.org/horizon2011/
ePub Version wp.nmc.org/docs/horizon-2011.epub

One Year or Less: Electronic Books wp.nmc.org/horizon2011/sections/electronic-books

The Future of the Book (by IDEO) vimeo.com/15142335)
KIndle Singles www.amazon.com/kindlesingles
Nomad Editions https://nomadeditions.com/
Yes, People Still Read, but Now It’s Social (Steven Johnson) www.nytimes.com/2010/06/20/business/20unbox.html
What Books Will Become (Kevin Kelly) www.kk.org/thetechnium/archives/2011/04/what_books_will.php
More 165 million tablets expected to ship over the next two years googlemobileads.blogspot.com/2011/04/tablets-are-changing-way-consumers.html
eBook Sales Nearly Double, Now 9% of Total Consumer Books www.readwriteweb.com/archives/ebooks_ereaders_top_trends_2010.php
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Media Tablet and eReader Tracker Makes Its Debut, Projects Nearly 17 Million Media Tablets Shipped Worldwide in 2010 www.idc.com/about/viewpressrelease.jsp?containerId=prUS22660011
blio ereader www.blio.com/
Plastic Logic www.plasticlogic.com/
Inkling Interactive Textbooks for iPad www.inkling.com/

One Year or Less: Mobiles wp.nmc.org/horizon2011/sections/mobiles

Ericsson Mobile Data www.ericsson.com/jm/news/1430616
Global mobile statistics 2011 mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats
Designing mLearning (by Clark Quinn) www.designingmlearning.com/
Getting Started with e-Learning (eLearning Guild) www.elearningguild.com/research/archives/index.cfm?id=142
Mobilize Google Ad words www.google.com/adwords/getmobilized/
Nielsen State of Mobile apps blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/the-state-of-mobile-apps
Solar System for iPad www.touchpress.com/titles/solarsystem/

Two to Three Years: Augmented Reality

Layar www.layar.com/
London Street Museum www.museumoflondon.org.uk/Resources/app/you-are-here-app/
Blended Reality: Superstructing Reality, Superstructing Selves www.iftf.org/node/2598
Blended Relity Filters vimeo.com/2735206
Monday dashboard vimeo.com/2734589
USPS Virtual Box Simulator https://www.prioritymail.com/simulator.asp
How augmented reality apps can catch on radar.oreilly.com/2010/10/two-ways-augmented-reality-app.html
Treating Cockroach Phobia With Augmented www.technologyreview.com/blog/mimssbits/25411/

Two to Three Years: Game-Based Learning

Gamification blog gamification.co/
Game Theories: What online gaming teaches us about talent development (The Economist) ideas.economist.com/blog/game-theories
Jane McGonical janemcgonigal.com/
Reality is Broken: Why Games Make Us Better and How They Can Change the World amzn.com/1594202850
Getting Started in e-Learning: Simulations and Games www.elearningguild.com/research/archives/index.cfm?id=144
Healthseeker Facebook game (diabetes) apps.facebook.com/healthseeker/
70 Percent of Major Employers Use Interactive Computer Training That Includes Game-like Simulations (ESA, 2008) www.theesa.com/newsroom/release_detail.asp?releaseID=24
How Video Games Are Infiltrating--and Improving--Every Part of Our Lives (Fast Company) www.fastcompany.com/magazine/151/everyones-a-player.html
McKinsey & Co Team Leader www.mckinsey.com/locations/swiss/career/team_leader
Sun's New hire game (ASTD Learn From the Best) www.astd.org/NR/rdonlyres/FFE617C9-A854-4D55-AB7C-72FF2BBAE604/0/SunMicrosystems.pdf
IBM CityOne game www.ibm.com/cityone
Design Outside the Box" Presentation (Jesse Schell) www.g4tv.com/videos/44277/DICE-2010-Design-Outside-the-Box-Presentation/
The Four Pillars of Gamification (Learning Circuits) www.astd.org/LC/0411_betts.htm
GreenGoose www.greengoose.com/
epic win www.rexbox.co.uk/epicwin/
World Without Oil www.worldwithoutoil.org/
Gartner Says By 2015, More Than 50 Percent of Organizations That Manage Innovation Processes Will Gamify Those Processes www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=1629214

Four to Five Years: Gesture-Based Computing

Evoluce www.evoluce.com/
Tamper www.youtube.com/user/oblongtamper
John Underkoffler points to the future of UI www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/john_underkoffler_drive_3d_data_with_a_gesture.html
Docomo Eye-Controlled Phones www.youtube.com/watch?v=_nTQlRBNrG8&
Fishing Cactus presents R.O.G.E.R, the first Medical Kinect Serious game blog.fishingcactus.com/index.php/2010/10/07/fishing-cactus-presents-r-o-g-e-r-the-first-medical-kinect-serious-game/
7 areas beyond gaming where Kinect could play a role radar.oreilly.com/2010/12/dancing-with-kinects-future-in.html

Four to Five Years: Learning Analytics

Mixpanel mixpanel.com/
SNAPP Social Networks Adapting Pedagogical Practice research.uow.edu.au/learningnetworks/seeing/snapp/
Learning Analytics — Visualizing Collaborative Knowledge Work emergingmediainitiative.com/project/learning-analytics/
Predictive Analytics predictiveanalytics.org/
E-Learning Analytics (2003 Learning Circuits) www.astd.org/LC/2003/0603_bersin.htm
Bersin $ Associates Solution Provider Library blogs.bersin.com/Lib/Sp/List.aspx?id=lanalytics
Measuring Effectiveness With Learning Analytics (Chief Learning Office) clomedia.com/articles/view/measuring-effectiveness-with-learning-analytics
Learning and Knowledge analytics www.learninganalytics.net/

Photo Credit

cc licensed ( BY NC ) flickr photo by WanderingtheWorld (www.LostManProject.com): flickr.com/photos/chrisschoenbohm/5104367911/